According to Phantom, users can discover hundreds of sports markets and watch scores and odds update in real time directly inside the Phantom wallet, source: Phantom on X, Dec 12, 2025. According to Phantom, the experience happens right from your wallet, confirming native in-app market access designed to monitor live odds and scores for trading decisions, source: Phantom on X, Dec 12, 2025. According to Phantom, no additional details on networks, partners, or regional availability were provided beyond offering hundreds of markets with real-time scores and odds within the wallet, source: Phantom on X, Dec 12, 2025.

According to @phantom, prediction markets in Phantom are not available in all jurisdictions, source: Phantom. According to @phantom, these markets involve risks including volatile pricing, limited liquidity, and potential regulatory changes, source: Phantom. According to @phantom, trading prediction markets may incur transaction fees and other costs, source: Phantom. According to @phantom, if a prediction is incorrect, the trader may lose the entire amount allocated to the event, source: Phantom. According to @phantom, references to third parties are informational only and do not imply endorsement or affiliation, source: Phantom.

According to Altcoin Daily, the account posted a sponsored call-to-action with a referral link to start trading on Polymarket, marked with the hashtag #partner; Source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 11, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1999199492067955185. For traders, Polymarket provides event markets to trade on outcomes across politics, finance, and crypto-related milestones; Source: Polymarket official site, https://polymarket.com.

According to the source, Gemini has received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to launch prediction markets for U.S. users, indicating these products will operate under CFTC oversight rather than offshore frameworks. Source: the source. Under CFTC rules, event contracts offered to the public must be listed on a registered designated contract market or a swap execution facility and are subject to market surveillance, reporting, and position limit requirements. Source: CFTC. For traders, access via a regulated U.S. venue means standardized rulebooks, compliance monitoring, and clearer margin/settlement practices for event contracts that can be used alongside existing crypto spot and derivatives strategies. Source: CFTC.

According to @gensynai, Delphi runs a fully on-chain automated market maker for prediction markets using the Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule to programmatically quote prices. Source: X post by @gensynai on Dec 11, 2025. @gensynai adds that, unlike order book venues, LMSR guarantees continuous liquidity, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at any time on the protocol. Source: X post by @gensynai on Dec 11, 2025. Further mechanics and design details are provided in the official explainer for traders evaluating liquidity and risk. Source: Gensyn blog at blog.gensyn.ai/lmsr-logarithmic-market-scoring-rule/.

According to @EleanorTerrett, CFTC Acting Chair Caroline D. Pham has named 12 exchange CEOs to the new CFTC CEO Innovation Council to address derivatives market structure. Source: Eleanor Terrett on X, Dec 10, 2025. Selected leaders include executives from Cboe, CME Group, Nasdaq, ICE, LSEG, Kraken, Gemini, Crypto.com, Bullish, Bitnomial, Kalshi, and Polymarket. Source: Eleanor Terrett on X, Dec 10, 2025. The council will advise on tokenization, perpetuals, prediction markets, 24/7 trading, and blockchain-based market infrastructure. Source: Eleanor Terrett on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to @StockMarketNerd, most prediction market trading volume goes into contracts picking sporting event winners, underscoring that these platforms are effectively used as gambling channels; source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Dec 10, 2025. This challenges claims that prediction markets are not gambling and signals a sports-driven liquidity mix that traders should account for when evaluating platform risk and pricing dynamics in related crypto markets; source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to the source, a judge has temporarily blocked Connecticut from enforcing state gambling laws against Kalshi, signaling a time-limited injunction while litigation proceeds. According to the source, this order maintains the status quo for Kalshi for now, a development relevant to traders monitoring U.S. prediction market liquidity and regulatory risk.

According to @AltcoinDaily, the account posted a paid promotion urging users to start trading on Polymarket via the affiliate link polymarket.com?via=altcoin-daily and disclosed #partner, indicating a commercial relationship; source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1998547589294444829. The post contains no market data, asset tickers, odds, pricing, or strategy details, so no direct trading signal can be derived from the content itself; source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1998547589294444829.

According to @StockMarketNerd, an owner could bet heavily on Antonio Brown to be the next New York Giants head coach, briefly hire him to trigger a winning outcome, then fire him and keep the profits, demonstrating a manipulable outcome path in current prediction markets (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Dec 9, 2025, https://twitter.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1998497538538627264). For traders, this underscores that markets lacking robust resolution criteria, cooldown windows, or anti-manipulation rules can be gamed by decision-makers, distorting odds, liquidity, and expected value (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Dec 9, 2025, https://twitter.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1998497538538627264). The same hire-and-fire vector applies to on-chain prediction markets that resolve on first hire without independent oracles or time locks, implying a risk premium and the need to discount prices where governance is weak (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Dec 9, 2025, https://twitter.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1998497538538627264). Traders should prioritize markets with clear outcome definitions and manipulation-resistant settlement mechanics to mitigate adverse selection and slippage risk highlighted by this example (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Dec 9, 2025, https://twitter.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1998497538538627264).

According to @Sarahssscy, BNB Chain strengthened stablecoin growth and activity in 2025, maintaining a top industry position and signaling robust on-chain liquidity rails relevant to traders (source: @Sarahssscy on X, Dec 9, 2025). The post states institutional real-world asset (RWA) adoption accelerated across the ecosystem, broadening tokenized asset issuance on BNB Chain for trading and settlement (source: @Sarahssscy on X, Dec 9, 2025). It also reports multiple high-quality projects launched and issued assets on BNB Chain, contributing to chain-wide trading volume and DAU reaching No.1 (source: @Sarahssscy on X, Dec 9, 2025). Perp DEX volume saw explosive growth with teams such as Aster, while prediction marketplaces are expanding rapidly, underscoring derivatives and prediction-market activity for BNB-based traders (source: @Sarahssscy on X, Dec 9, 2025).

According to @AltcoinDaily, a sponsored X post on Dec 8, 2025 urges users to start trading on Polymarket via the referral URL polymarket.com?via=altcoin-daily, indicating paid promotion of the trading platform. Source: https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1998128003730288763 The post includes the #partner disclosure, signaling advertising rather than an asset-specific trade signal, so traders should treat it as marketing and perform independent due diligence. Source: https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1998128003730288763

According to @AltcoinDaily, top traders are moving attention from Uniswap and Pumpfun to Polymarket to trade event outcomes and extract earlier signals, positioning prediction markets as a new edge in crypto trading, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 8, 2025. According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket is described as predicting elections more accurately than polls and surfacing world events before journalists, turning speculation into actionable information for traders, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 8, 2025. According to @AltcoinDaily, prediction markets are framed as the next wealth-creation arena in crypto, likened to altcoins in 2017, NFTs in 2021, and AI and creator tokens in 2024, with Polymarket called the number one prediction market and a crypto-native company, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 8, 2025.

According to @gensynai, users can buy stake to take positions on AI models they believe will win and earn rewards if those models succeed. Source: @gensynai. According to @gensynai, traders can track state-of-the-art (SOTA) model performance in real time as prices update. Source: @gensynai. According to @gensynai, a create-and-compete feature to launch new markets and use personal models is coming soon. Source: @gensynai.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket currently prices just a 33% probability that the US enters a recession by 2027, with odds down about 11 percentage points since October 2025 and at their lowest level to date (source: Polymarket via @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, this market reading indicates the economy is not in or near a recession based on current prediction-market pricing (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to Polymarket, these probabilities are set by live on-chain trading, giving traders a real-time macro gauge that can be monitored alongside crypto positioning in BTC and ETH (source: Polymarket).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Polymarket pricing shows a 60% probability that Bitcoin falls below $80,000 before year-end, citing Steve Hanke’s post on X dated Dec 7, 2025 that referenced Polymarket data. @Andre_Dragosch added that this was probably the bottom in hindsight, based on his post on X dated Dec 7, 2025. This prediction market pricing indicates elevated downside risk for BTC into year-end per Polymarket data referenced by @steve_hanke on X.

According to @AltcoinDaily, a Polymarket trader grew an account from $12 to $12,000 and then to $30,000 by accurately calling 11 short-term Bitcoin (BTC) moves, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 6, 2025. The post highlights a sequence of 11 successful BTC trades executed on Polymarket, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 6, 2025.

According to @milesdeutscher, a newly highlighted X thread compiles a complete set of reliable AI tools to help traders navigate Polymarket and make more money in prediction market bets, aimed at practical trading use. Source: X post by @milesdeutscher on Dec 5, 2025. The referenced thread by @aiedge_ presents 10 Polymarket x AI tools that expert traders are using, positioned as a concrete toolkit for on-chain prediction market execution. Source: X thread by @aiedge_ at https://x.com/aiedge_/status/1996987968113004556. The thread claims traders are consistently hitting 50%+ returns with minimal manual input when applying these AI workflows, framing a clear, tool-driven edge for Polymarket positioning. Source: X thread by @aiedge_ at https://x.com/aiedge_/status/1996987968113004556.

According to @gensynai, prediction markets where participants buy shares in event claims and large-scale machine learning run on walls of GPUs processing trillions of tokens both address the same underlying forecasting problem, with a longer explanation published in a Gensyn blog post titled Prediction markets are learning algorithms. Source: @gensynai on X and blog.gensyn.ai/prediction-markets-are-learning-algorithms. For traders, the thesis frames human bet aggregation and GPU-driven learning as parallel information-aggregation mechanisms, highlighting a research lens that links prediction market platforms and AI infrastructure narratives within crypto and DeFi. Source: @gensynai on X and blog.gensyn.ai/prediction-markets-are-learning-algorithms.

According to @jchervinsky, prohibiting gambling has been as ineffective as alcohol prohibition, signaling persistent market demand that will create supply even under restrictions, source: @jchervinsky on X dated Dec 4, 2025. According to @jchervinsky, the key policy choice is whether these markets operate underground or openly, a framing traders can use to assess regulatory risk and liquidity persistence across crypto gambling and prediction markets, source: @jchervinsky on X dated Dec 4, 2025.