List of Flash News about prediction markets
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2025-11-02 15:00 |
Romania Reportedly Bans Polymarket After $600M Crypto Election Bets: Trading Impact and Liquidity Watch
According to the source, Romania has banned access to Polymarket after approximately $600 million in crypto election betting volume, as stated in an X post on Nov 2, 2025. The source did not cite an official notice from Romanian regulators or Polymarket, and no enforcement details were provided in the post. Per the source, if accurate, such a ban would restrict Romanian users from trading on the venue, with any liquidity impact unquantified in the source. |
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2025-11-02 06:14 |
CZ Signals Funding for AI Judge Assistant and Mentions Prediction Markets Use Case – Crypto Trading Takeaways
According to @PANewsCN, CZ shared a weekend builder idea for an AI judge assistant and said he is willing to fund a strong AI assistant project, signaling potential capital interest in legal AI tools relevant to crypto. source: PANews on X post by @PANewsCN dated Nov 2, 2025; CZ on X https://x.com/cz_binance/status/1984835928301719768 CZ outlined training on public statutes, precedents, party statements, court transcripts, verdicts, and social opinion to generate decision recommendations, asserting AI could be more objective than human decisions affected by emotion or bias. source: CZ on X https://x.com/cz_binance/status/1984835928301719768; PANews on X post by @PANewsCN dated Nov 2, 2025 He added that no country is likely to adopt this soon and positioned the system as a tool for judges, lawyers, and case participants rather than a replacement. source: CZ on X https://x.com/cz_binance/status/1984835928301719768; PANews on X post by @PANewsCN dated Nov 2, 2025 CZ explicitly highlighted potential application to prediction markets, creating a direct crypto-market adjacency for builders and traders to track. source: CZ on X https://x.com/cz_binance/status/1984835928301719768; PANews on X post by @PANewsCN dated Nov 2, 2025 |
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2025-11-02 04:12 |
CZ Proposes AI Judge Companion to Feed Prediction Markets and Offers Funding: Actionable Insights for Crypto Traders
According to @cz_binance, he proposed an AI Judge Companion trained on written laws and past cases to make judgment recommendations on every public case, noting that laws and most court documents are public data, including precedent cases, submissions, transcripts, and verdicts, which underpins scalable dataset access for legal AI systems, source: @cz_binance on X, Nov 2, 2025. According to @cz_binance, he said the tool could be handy for judges, lawyers, and normal people involved in a case, highlighting practical utility that could translate into real-world usage signals for legal-tech, source: @cz_binance on X, Nov 2, 2025. According to @cz_binance, he stated the system could feed into prediction markets, directly aligning with on-chain prediction market data flows and trader interest in event-driven markets, source: @cz_binance on X, Nov 2, 2025. According to @cz_binance, he added he does not expect countries to adopt this soon and is not saying AI judges are better, emphasizing outcomes depend on training quality, which tempers near-term adoption timelines for legal AI while still indicating long-term potential, source: @cz_binance on X, Nov 2, 2025. According to @cz_binance, he concluded he is happy to fund a good implementation, signaling explicit funding interest from a prominent crypto figure that traders can monitor for project announcements in the legal AI and prediction market stack, source: @cz_binance on X, Nov 2, 2025. |
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2025-10-28 19:42 |
Bloomberg: Polymarket to Re-Enter U.S. Within Weeks With Sports-Focused Prediction Markets — Trading Watchpoints
According to the source, Bloomberg reports that Polymarket plans to re-enter the U.S. within weeks with a new focus on sports markets, offering a clear near-term launch timeline for traders to monitor (source: Bloomberg). The report indicates the U.S. rollout will prioritize sports-related prediction markets, defining initial product categories and user demand focus at launch (source: Bloomberg). Key watchpoints include the exact go-live date, eligible jurisdictions, and initial market lineup to gauge early liquidity and volume once access opens (source: Bloomberg). |
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2025-10-28 19:29 |
Polymarket Plans US Launch in Coming Weeks, Bloomberg Reports: Key Update for Crypto Prediction Markets
According to the source, Bloomberg reports that crypto prediction platform Polymarket plans to launch in the United States in the coming weeks (source: Bloomberg). Polymarket describes itself as a decentralized prediction market platform (source: Polymarket). This would mark a change from prior U.S. restrictions after a 2022 settlement that required the platform to wind down unregistered event-based markets for U.S. users (source: CFTC). Bloomberg did not provide an exact date beyond stating “in the coming weeks,” which sets a near-term timeline for any U.S. market access update (source: Bloomberg). |
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2025-10-28 19:01 |
Polymarket to Reenter U.S. in Weeks With Sports Focus: Trading Implications for Prediction Markets
According to the source, Polymarket plans to return to the U.S. within weeks with a new focus on sports markets, signaling a potential near-term shift in prediction-market liquidity and user flows. According to the source, traders should watch for the opening of U.S. access, depth of order books in sports markets, and changes in spreads and volumes around major sporting events once the rollout begins. According to the source, risk management should account for uncertainty because the announcement provides no further details on launch date, licensing, or product scope beyond the sports focus. According to the source, short-term trading setups may center on monitoring market creation pace, liquidity concentration in headline games, and any immediate impact on rival prediction venues’ volumes. |
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2025-10-28 06:42 |
Amber Group Sponsors Seedify Prediction Markets Hackathon: $400K+ Prizes, BNB Chain Hashtag, DoraHacks Submission Live
According to @ambergroup_io, Amber Group is sponsoring the SeedifyFund Prediction Markets Hackathon with a $400K+ prize pool and access to world-class mentorship for builders, targeting on-chain prediction markets use cases. source: @ambergroup_io on X, Oct 28, 2025. According to @ambergroup_io, teams are directed to the submission portal at dorahacks.io/hackathon/predictionmarketshackathon to register and submit entries. source: @ambergroup_io on X, Oct 28, 2025. According to @ambergroup_io, the announcement includes #BNBChain, #Web3, and #PredictionMarkets hashtags, aligning the event with the BNB Chain ecosystem and prediction-market dApps that traders track. source: @ambergroup_io on X, Oct 28, 2025. According to @ambergroup_io, traders focused on prediction markets and BNB Chain can use this hackathon announcement and portal to monitor builder activity and project updates tied to the listed hashtags. source: @ambergroup_io on X, Oct 28, 2025. |
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2025-10-27 19:35 |
Compass Point Reiterates Bullish Call on Robinhood (HOOD) in 2025 as Prediction Markets Surge; Crypto Trading Tailwinds for BTC, ETH
According to the source, Compass Point reiterated a bullish view on Robinhood (HOOD), highlighting accelerating prediction market growth as an engagement driver that could lift transaction-based revenue and on-platform crypto activity. Source: Compass Point research note dated Oct 27, 2025. Robinhood has stated that transaction-based revenues are driven by customer trading volumes across equities, options, and cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH. Source: Robinhood Markets, Inc. Form 10-K for the year ended Dec 31, 2023. US regulatory outcomes for prediction markets remain a key risk and timing catalyst for monetization paths. Source: U.S. CFTC public actions and statements on event-contract markets in 2023–2024. Traders can watch HOOD into earnings while tracking BTC and ETH volatility and Robinhood’s disclosed crypto trading volumes as leading indicators for engagement. Source: Robinhood quarterly results presentations and shareholder letters. |
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2025-10-26 17:40 |
Altcoin Daily Partners with Polymarket: 2025 Prediction Markets Focus and Onchain Media Expansion
According to @AltcoinDaily, the channel announced Polymarket as its newest official channel partner, aligning its crypto-native, onchain media strategy with prediction markets as a core narrative focus (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Oct 26, 2025). According to @AltcoinDaily, the announcement describes prediction markets as a new layer of financial truth, speculation, and storytelling, and characterizes Polymarket as one of the most successful and important crypto applications (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Oct 26, 2025). According to @AltcoinDaily, the post states the partnership reflects shared values and a decentralized, data-driven future, while explicitly positioning Altcoin Daily to grow alongside Polymarket (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Oct 26, 2025). According to @AltcoinDaily, the announcement does not disclose any token, listing, platform fee, incentive, KPI, or product-integration details, indicating the news is a media partnership update without specific trading mechanics provided in the post (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Oct 26, 2025). |
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2025-10-24 05:28 |
Polymarket Early Bet Nets $56.8K Profit on Trump Pardon of CZ Changpeng Zhao — Trading Takeaways
According to @lookonchain, trader Garrett @GarrettBullish placed an early position on Polymarket predicting Donald Trump would pardon Changpeng Zhao and realized 56.8K dollars in profit, source: @lookonchain and the Polymarket user bigwinner01 activity page. The realized profit confirms a favorable repricing of the Trump pardons CZ market contract for an early entry, as reflected on Polymarket’s public activity feed, source: @lookonchain and the Polymarket user bigwinner01 activity page. For trading relevance, this shows how event-driven prediction markets can produce outsized PnL when probabilities shift, with transparent performance visible on user activity pages, source: @lookonchain and the Polymarket user bigwinner01 activity page. |
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2025-10-23 19:40 |
Top MyriadMarkets Prediction Markets This Week: Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Price Predictions and Dodgers World Series Odds
According to the source, MyriadMarkets' top markets this week include Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) price prediction contracts and the Los Angeles Dodgers' World Series odds. Source: X post dated Oct 23, 2025. |
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2025-10-23 05:50 |
ETHShanghai 2025 Roundtable: Prediction Markets, AI Agents, and ZK ID Identified as Core Crypto Themes on Ethereum (ETH)
According to @PANewsCN, WXblockchain chairman Xiao Feng said prediction markets use mathematical algorithms to push trading toward factual truth, offering a mechanism more reality-aligned than polls and making the future tradable, highlighting direct relevance for market pricing and liquidity formation on Ethereum (ETH), source: @PANewsCN. At the ETHShanghai 2025 roundtable with Vitalik Buterin, he added that AI Agents will drive an efficiency revolution but also create new attack surfaces, making security and compliance coequal with innovation for crypto trading systems and agent-based execution, source: @PANewsCN. He further emphasized ZK ID as critical DeFi infrastructure to protect privacy while creating trustworthy customer profiles, enabling a balance between know-your-customer requirements and privacy protection that can support compliant on-chain finance, source: @PANewsCN. |
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2025-10-23 05:49 |
Vitalik at ETHShanghai 2025: AI Agents Should Augment Humans; Security Is Key for On-Chain Trading, DAO Governance, and Prediction Markets on Ethereum (ETH)
According to @PANewsCN, Vitalik Buterin said at ETHShanghai 2025 that blockchain supplies the rules while AI can act as participants across prediction markets, DAO governance, and automated trading on Ethereum, expanding decentralization’s scope; source: @PANewsCN, X, Oct 23, 2025. He noted many past governance designs failed due to low human participation and efficiency bottlenecks, and said AI could invigorate governance via delegate voting and smart execution; source: @PANewsCN, X, Oct 23, 2025. He emphasized that security is the central challenge for AI agents controlling assets because vulnerabilities could cause catastrophic losses to treasuries or trading systems; source: @PANewsCN, X, Oct 23, 2025. He stressed AI should enhance rather than replace humans, reframing trust and safety as the foundation of AI-crypto integration; source: @PANewsCN, X, Oct 23, 2025. Trading relevance: the explicitly cited sectors—prediction markets, DAO tooling, and automated trading on Ethereum (ETH)—require strict agent permissions, audits, and fail-safes when deploying AI-driven strategies; source: @PANewsCN, X, Oct 23, 2025. |
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2025-10-23 00:41 |
Bloomberg: VCs Court Kalshi at $10–12B Valuation; CFTC OKs More Contracts as Annualized Volume Hits $50B; Polymarket Valued ~$8B
According to @PANewsCN citing Bloomberg, prediction market platform Kalshi is receiving venture capital approaches for a $10–12 billion valuation range (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Bloomberg, via @PANewsCN, reports this follows a $300 million round at a $5 billion valuation led by a16z and Sequoia a few weeks earlier and a $185 million round at a $2 billion valuation led by Paradigm in June (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Kalshi did not respond to requests for comment (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). The CFTC has allowed Kalshi to list more event contracts, while state-level gambling oversight remains disputed (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Kalshi states its annualized trading volume has reached $50 billion (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Competitor Polymarket has received up to $2 billion in investment from ICE, with a valuation around $8 billion (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). |
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2025-10-22 13:30 |
dYdX Restores Prediction Markets: Long/Short With Leverage Now Live for Traders (DYDX)
According to @charlesdhaussy, prediction markets are back on dYdX with support for going long or short and adding leverage, indicating immediate availability for leveraged directional trading. source: https://twitter.com/charlesdhaussy/status/1980990108267589675 The author links to dYdX’s official post on X, signaling an announcement about the return of prediction markets and leverage-enabled positions for users. source: https://x.com/dYdX/status/1980908451938058280 |
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2025-10-22 06:50 |
Sora Oracle on BNB Chain claims 84.9% gas savings with PancakeSwap V2 integration, positioned as a faster open-source alternative to Chainlink LINK for BNB
According to @rovercrc, Sora Oracle is an open-source, permissionless oracle toolkit for the BNB Chain that focuses on decentralized data integrity and real-time prediction markets, which the post highlights as relevant for trading use cases on-chain, source: @rovercrc on X. The author states it is faster than Chainlink and fully open-source, framing it as an alternative for developers and market participants comparing oracle solutions, source: @rovercrc on X. Claimed metrics include 84.9% gas savings, zero vulnerabilities, and seamless PancakeSwap V2 integration, all positioned as performance and security advantages for DeFi on BNB Chain, source: @rovercrc on X. The post also provides the project handle @soraoracle, the website soraoracle.com, and a Dexscreener chart for BSC contract 0x3e1d78a38235d1fab9cfd02d7eb99cd9bcb19f4f for traders seeking official references and a chart view, source: @rovercrc on X. |
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2025-10-21 10:54 |
dYdX October Analyst Call Roadmap: 4 Key Upgrades — Solana SOL Spot Trading, Integrated Staking, On-Chain Prediction Markets, Advanced Order Types for DYDX Traders
According to @dydxfoundation, its October Analyst Call featured @epic_edge_ of dYdX Labs outlining the next phase of the protocol roadmap with Solana SOL spot trading, integrated staking, the return of on-chain prediction markets, and advanced order types, source: @dydxfoundation on X, Oct 21, 2025. The call emphasized building products that combine performance, transparency, and user-centric design, source: @dydxfoundation on X, Oct 21, 2025. |
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2025-10-20 22:48 |
Polymarket Data: Betting Against Trump Promises Matched S&P 500 Returns While Follow-Through Bets Lost — Trading Takeaways from Prediction Markets
According to @business, Polymarket data shows that wagering against Donald Trump taking promised actions would have produced returns similar to the S&P 500, while betting he would follow through was a losing proposition, highlighting an execution-risk premium in these event contracts; source: Bloomberg Evening Briefing via @business, Oct 20, 2025; Polymarket data. According to @business, traders allocating to the “No” side on Trump policy event markets historically captured equity-like returns, whereas the “Yes” side underperformed, suggesting positioning bias and sizing should reflect the historical edge observed in Polymarket outcomes; source: Bloomberg Evening Briefing via @business, Oct 20, 2025; Polymarket data. |
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2025-10-20 12:40 |
dYdX Analyst Call October 2025: $DYDX Buyback, Solana Spot Trading, Prediction Markets, Crypto.com Integration, and Fee Tier Simplification — Key Trading Updates
According to @dydxfoundation, the October 2025 dYdX Analyst Call covered trading-focused updates including market backdrop, protocol growth, staking, token metrics, and a $DYDX buyback program at the 13:29 segment. Source: dYdX Foundation on X, Oct 20, 2025. According to @dydxfoundation, upcoming launches on the dYdX product roadmap include Solana Spot Trading and Prediction Markets. Source: dYdX Foundation on X, Oct 20, 2025. According to @dydxfoundation, new integrations with Crypto.com, THORWallet, and CoinRoutes were outlined at 26:35 to expand access and execution routes. Source: dYdX Foundation on X, Oct 20, 2025. According to @dydxfoundation, strategic initiatives highlighted include Surge Season 7 (20:26), simplified fee tiers (22:22), performance upgrades (23:19), permissioned keys (30:12), and an affiliates program (31:05). Source: dYdX Foundation on X, Oct 20, 2025. According to @dydxfoundation, the session was led by CEO Charles d'Haussy and COO Josh, with dYdX Labs President Eddie Zhang contributing to the roadmap segment at 15:00. Source: dYdX Foundation on X, Oct 20, 2025. |
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2025-10-20 12:33 |
October 2025 dYdX Analyst Call: DYDX Buyback, Staking, Solana (SOL) Spot Trading, Prediction Markets, and New Integrations — Key Trading Updates
According to dYdX Foundation, its October 2025 Analyst Call covered market backdrop, protocol growth, token metrics, staking, and details of a DYDX buyback program. Source: dYdX Foundation (X, Oct 20, 2025). According to dYdX Foundation, upcoming launches include Solana (SOL) Spot Trading and Prediction Markets, alongside integrations with Crypto.com, THORWallet, and CoinRoutes. Source: dYdX Foundation (X, Oct 20, 2025). According to dYdX Foundation, additional roadmap points included Surge Season 7, simplified fee tiers, performance upgrades, permissioned keys, and an affiliates program. Source: dYdX Foundation (X, Oct 20, 2025). |