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prediction markets Flash News List | Blockchain.News
Flash News List

List of Flash News about prediction markets

Time Details
2025-09-18
17:36
XRP ATH Prediction Odds Surge as Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance Odds Plunge — What Crypto Traders Should Watch on XRP/BTC

According to the source, prediction odds for XRP reaching a new all-time high have risen while odds tied to Bitcoin (BTC) dominance have declined, indicating a repricing between expected XRP strength and BTC market share (source: provided post). The source indicates these probability shifts are pertinent for positioning in XRP spot and XRP/BTC pairs, and for managing exposure linked to Bitcoin dominance indices and altcoin baskets (source: provided post). The source adds that traders should monitor XRP/BTC and Bitcoin dominance gauges to align positioning with the updated odds (source: provided post).

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2025-09-18
01:00
Unable to verify KalshiEco announcement without official source

According to the source, this item cannot be validated because the only reference provided is a tweet from a prohibited media source. Please share an official announcement from Kalshi, Solana Foundation, or Base (e.g., company blog, press release, or their verified X accounts) so a trading-focused summary with proper citations can be produced.

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2025-09-17
12:26
Polymarket Token Speculation Soars on Reported $10B Valuation - Trading Update

According to @DecryptMedia, speculation around a potential Polymarket token has surged alongside reports of a $10 billion valuation, source: @DecryptMedia. The coverage highlights intensifying market attention centered on Polymarket tied to token chatter at this valuation level, source: @DecryptMedia.

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2025-09-16
06:30
Reported Stocktwits–Polymarket Partnership to Launch Earnings Prediction Markets: Verification Needed for Traders

According to the source, a social media post claims Stocktwits and Polymarket have partnered to launch earnings prediction markets, with the information originating from the user-provided X post dated 2025-09-16 (Source: user-provided X post, 2025-09-16). No official announcement from Stocktwits or Polymarket was included in the materials provided, which prevents verification and a reliable assessment of trading impact at this time (Source: user-provided materials).

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2025-09-15
19:15
NFL Monday Night Football Odds — Chargers vs Raiders: Prediction Markets Set L.A. -3.5, O/U 46.5; Raiders and Over May Be Undervalued

According to @DecryptMedia, betting markets have the Los Angeles Chargers at -3.5 with a total of 46.5, while public prop action and expert lines indicate potential undervaluation on the Raiders and the Over, implying contrarian value at current prices (source: @DecryptMedia on X, Sep 15, 2025). Traders can frame exposure around Raiders +3.5 and Over 46.5 versus the market consensus highlighted by the source, focusing on price changes relative to these benchmarks (source: @DecryptMedia on X, Sep 15, 2025).

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2025-09-15
17:16
Prediction Markets Favor Los Angeles Chargers in Monday Night Football 2025: Key Trading Signal for Bettors

According to the source, prediction markets favored the Los Angeles Chargers in a Monday Night Football matchup at the time of posting, indicating a market lean toward LAC outcomes (source: the provided post). The post did not include specific prices, odds, or liquidity metrics (source: the provided post).

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2025-09-12
19:11
Nic Carter Questions Polymarket Ties on X (2025): Verified Update for Traders

According to @nic__carter, he publicly asked Polymarket and Shayne Coplan if they work with a specific person, without providing additional details in the post; this is the only information disclosed in the source. Source: https://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1966580483858325627 The post contains no confirmations from the mentioned parties and no operational, compliance, or market data, so no verifiable trading signal or platform change can be derived from this post alone. Source: https://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1966580483858325627

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2025-09-12
18:14
Polymarket IPO Boycott Call by @KookCapitalLLC: 10 Billion Valuation Challenged, Hyperliquid Cited as Model

According to @KookCapitalLLC, they will not buy a Polymarket IPO and call for a boycott of the offering, highlighting opposition to VC-led allocations. Source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 12, 2025. The post asserts Polymarket is valued at 10 billion and cites Hyperliquid as the preferred model for crypto native distribution over private company equity, emphasizing onchain-first access. Source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 12, 2025. For traders, this public boycott stance is a clear sentiment datapoint that at least some market participants may avoid any Polymarket listing, a factor to consider when evaluating demand and potential price discovery at launch. Source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 12, 2025.

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2025-09-12
17:21
Polymarket Funding Round Reportedly Targeting $3B Valuation, Tripling Prior Mark — What Traders Should Watch

According to @AggrNews, Business Insider reported that Polymarket is pursuing a new funding round that would triple its valuation to roughly $3 billion, citing unnamed sources (source: @AggrNews; Business Insider). The report’s reliance on unnamed sources indicates the target valuation and terms are not yet finalized (source: Business Insider via @AggrNews). Traders can use the $3B target as a sector valuation reference for crypto-native prediction markets while monitoring for official deal confirmation and timing (source: Business Insider via @AggrNews; a16z State of Crypto 2024).

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2025-09-08
13:01
HELLO Club Unveils 4 Core Features for Traders: Quest Campaigns, Prediction Markets, Staking Rewards, and Token Launchpad

According to Cas Abbé (@cas_abbe), HELLO Club will offer quest campaigns, prediction markets, staking and rewards, and a token launchpad aimed at connecting millions of retail participants to incubated projects (source: Cas Abbé/@cas_abbe, Sep 8, 2025). For traders, this provides platform-level access to event-driven prediction markets, early-stage token offerings via the launchpad, and staking reward programs within HELLO Club’s ecosystem (source: Cas Abbé/@cas_abbe). The announcement positions HELLO Club as a retail-scale hub linking participants to incubated projects through launchpad listings, prediction markets, and rewards, as stated in the announcement (source: Cas Abbé/@cas_abbe).

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2025-09-08
13:01
HELLO Protocol Explained: Connecting Media Attention to Onchain Quests, Staking, Prediction Markets, and Token Launches for Real Rewards

According to @cas_abbe, HELLO Protocol is the utility and smart contract layer powering the HELLO ecosystem that links media-driven attention to onchain quests, staking, prediction markets, and token launches, forming an Attention → Action → Rewards loop; source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 8, 2025. According to @cas_abbe, trading-relevant primitives explicitly supported are staking, prediction markets, and token launches within the HELLO ecosystem; source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 8, 2025.

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2025-09-05
13:10
SEC and CFTC Ramp Up Crypto, DeFi, Perpetuals Support: Rule Harmonization, Extended Trading Hours, Innovation Exemptions, Portfolio Margining; Sept 29 Roundtable

According to @EleanorTerrett, the SEC and CFTC are ramping up coordination to support crypto, DeFi, prediction markets, perpetual contracts, and portfolio margining to keep U.S. markets competitive, source: Eleanor Terrett on X, Sept 5, 2025. The agencies aim to harmonize rules, reduce regulatory gaps, expand trading hours, and use innovation exemptions, source: Eleanor Terrett on X, Sept 5, 2025. A joint SEC-CFTC roundtable is scheduled for Sept 29 to discuss next steps, source: Eleanor Terrett on X, Sept 5, 2025.

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2025-09-03
17:08
CFTC 'Green Light' Claim for Polymarket to Operate in the USA: Verification Steps and Trading Impact on USDC and Polygon (MATIC)

According to @rovercrc, the CFTC has given Polymarket approval to go live in the United States, as stated in a post on X dated September 3, 2025, which does not include an official CFTC order or press release link for independent verification, making confirmation pending at this time, source: @rovercrc on X, 2025-09-03. Polymarket previously settled CFTC charges in January 2022, paid a $1.4 million civil monetary penalty, and restricted access for U.S. users, establishing that formal CFTC actions dictate the platform’s U.S. market permissions, source: CFTC press release PR 8485-22, 2022-01-03. Trading impact will depend on the exact terms of any official CFTC action, including which event contracts are permitted, KYC and AML requirements, and geographic eligibility, none of which are specified in the cited post, source: CFTC regulatory framework and @rovercrc on X, 2025-09-03. Polymarket transactions are settled in USDC on Polygon, so any verified expansion of U.S. accessibility would affect on-chain volume, gas usage, and USDC liquidity on that network, but such effects should only be considered after an official CFTC release or Polymarket announcement is published, source: Polymarket platform documentation and prior platform operations; CFTC.gov official releases.

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2025-09-03
04:03
Futarchy Trading Mechanics: NAV Discounts, Exit Liquidity, and Pass/Fail Payoffs Explained (3 Scenarios)

According to @deanmlittle, futarchy markets present three payoff cases for traders: buying and the proposal fails makes late buyers exit liquidity for others. Source: @deanmlittle on X, Sep 3, 2025, https://twitter.com/deanmlittle/status/1963090336697536732 According to @deanmlittle, if the proposal passes while the asset trades below NAV, buyers profit as the discount converges to net asset value. Source: @deanmlittle on X, Sep 3, 2025, https://twitter.com/deanmlittle/status/1963090336697536732 According to @deanmlittle, if the proposal passes while trading above NAV, buyers effectively pay a premium to recoup investment, indicating adverse entry pricing. Source: @deanmlittle on X, Sep 3, 2025, https://twitter.com/deanmlittle/status/1963090336697536732 According to @deanmlittle, this framing centers trading decisions on NAV discount or premium relative to pass or fail probabilities in on-chain governance markets, and he asks whether an alternative rational thesis exists. Source: @deanmlittle on X, Sep 3, 2025, https://twitter.com/deanmlittle/status/1963090336697536732

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2025-08-30
19:28
Prediction Markets Could Be Winner-Take-Most: @KookCapitalLLC Seeks Hyperliquid-like Sector Leader

According to @KookCapitalLLC, the prediction market sector may follow winner-take-most dynamics, with a single platform capturing the majority of liquidity and user flow. Source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Aug 30, 2025. The author states they are actively searching for the emerging platform that will lead the category, likening the potential winner to a Hyperliquid-like idea in terms of scale and liquidity concentration. Source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Aug 30, 2025. The post highlights this account’s focus on prediction markets, signaling attention toward platforms that could consolidate market share once a leader emerges. Source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Aug 30, 2025.

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2025-08-30
07:37
App-Specific L2s for Prediction Markets: 5 Trader Takeaways for ETH, OP, ARB

According to @adriannewman21, there is growing discussion about launching Layer-2 networks dedicated to specific use cases like prediction markets as adoption increases. Source: Adrian @adriannewman21 on X, August 30, 2025. App-specific L2s are feasible because frameworks such as Optimism OP Stack and Arbitrum Orbit let teams deploy custom rollups with their own sequencers, fee policies, and Ethereum settlement. Source: Optimism OP Stack documentation; Arbitrum Orbit documentation. For traders, proliferation of app chains can fragment liquidity and add bridging costs and latency, which can widen spreads between identical markets across chains and increase basis risk. Source: Ethereum.org rollups and cross-domain bridging documentation. Greater L2 activity increases L1 data posting via blobs after EIP-4844, influencing ETH fee dynamics and the cost of transacting on L2s; monitor blob fees and data availability costs. Source: Ethereum.org EIP-4844 overview. To gauge impact on OP and ARB ecosystems, track new OP Stack and Arbitrum Orbit app-chain launches, sequencer fee flows, TVL, and on-chain volume using public analytics. Source: Optimism and Arbitrum documentation; L2Beat analytics.

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2025-08-13
19:07
US Treasury Secretary Bessent Pushes Congressional Single-Stock Trading Ban; Kalshi Prices 7% Odds — Implications for BTC, ETH Traders

According to @KobeissiLetter, US Treasury Secretary Bessent said he will begin pushing for a single-stock trading ban for members of Congress, shared via a video clip, source: @KobeissiLetter. Kalshi event markets currently imply a 7% probability that a congressional single-stock trading ban is enacted, indicating low near-term odds, source: Kalshi. With no policy enacted and odds low, there is no direct change signaled for BTC or ETH regulatory outlook at this time; traders can monitor Kalshi odds for any material shift in policy-risk pricing, source: Kalshi.

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2025-07-31
20:11
Coinbase to Launch Tokenized Stocks and Prediction Markets for U.S. Users: Impact on Crypto Trading

According to @AggrNews, Coinbase is set to introduce tokenized stocks and prediction markets for U.S. users soon, as reported by CNBC. This move is expected to broaden trading opportunities and may increase liquidity and volatility in the cryptocurrency sector, especially for assets linked to tokenized equities and prediction markets. Traders should monitor potential regulatory developments and integration details, as these could create new arbitrage and hedging strategies within the broader crypto market. Source: @AggrNews via CNBC.

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2025-07-29
09:09
ForesightNow Expands Prediction Markets on Katana: Impact on DeFi and Crypto Trading Strategies

According to Daniel Oon, ForesightNow is advancing the frontier of prediction markets by integrating with the Katana platform, which could enhance liquidity and trading opportunities within the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. This development gives traders new tools to hedge positions and speculate on market outcomes, potentially increasing overall market efficiency and volatility. The integration could also attract institutional participants seeking innovative trading products, further influencing crypto market dynamics (source: Daniel Oon).

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2025-06-20
02:50
Jordan Spieth's Painful Withdrawal at Travelers Championship: Impact on Sports Betting and Crypto Prediction Markets

According to Fox News, Jordan Spieth's unexpected and painful withdrawal from the Travelers Championship marks his first-ever PGA Tour exit, causing immediate shifts in both traditional sports betting odds and crypto-based prediction markets. This event triggered increased volatility in tokenized sports betting platforms such as Polymarket and Augur, as traders adjusted their positions in response to the sudden change in tournament dynamics (Source: Fox News, June 20, 2025). Crypto traders focusing on sports prediction tokens are advised to monitor liquidity and market sentiment closely.

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